They refinanced four times in four years?
I love Diana Olick. Not in a creepy way, I promise. It’s a purely professional infatuation. In my opinion, she is the CNBC reporter who most honestly covered the housing demise as it first began unfolding. It’s why I experienced such heartburn when I read the title of her most recent article.
Falling Mortgage Rates Spur Serial Refinancing
Why the heartburn? My first impression was that I was going to read that we were back in the “aughts”, that magical time before the bust, when the refinance business was going gangbusters.
Fortunately nobody tried too hard to spin that tall tale.
The drivers of the first refinance boom are now gone. Certainly there will be an uptick in the numbers now that rates are beginning to drop again. My loan officer friend Keith Yamamoto tells me that he has several applications sitting on his desk, each waiting for a particular rate to proceed.
But it would be unexpected if refinance volumes were to increase significantly.
The beginning of the article focuses on a married couple who refinanced four times in the last four years. For the vast majority of homeowners that’s excessive, though I admit that I’m impressed that this couple was able to perform such a feat in this lending climate. I think that tells us that this is not your ordinary couple.
Now it’s true that refinancing can save money. It may even be true that this exceptional couple benefitted tremendously.
But serial refinancing is a dangerous game that eats equity quickly, and can trap a homeowner in a cycle of debt dependence that causes them to make bad decisions, and by the sounds of it, that’s just what this couple did by moving from a fixed rate loan to an adjustable.
For this particular couple, let’s hope that when Tim Geithner is put out to pasture, that we don’t have a Volcker style treasury secretary who reigns in the Federal Reserve (the real reason for current low rates) and pushes rates through the proverbial roof. Because they will certainly lose their literal roof if they find themselves refinancing into the same equity trap that so many homeowners now find themselves in.

